วันพุธที่ 26 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2550

Technical Analysis In Forex - The Good And The Bad

by TJ Chiam


Technical analysis is a method of forecasting future price movements and market trends primarily through the use of charts. Technical analysis is only concerned with how the market has actually behaved, rather than what should happen, and takes into account the price of instruments and the volume of trading. Charts are then created from that historical data and used as a primary tool for analysis. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments simultaneously.

Three Principles of Technical Analysis:

Market action discounts everything! This means that the actual price has already been determined by every bit of information that is known to the market. Hence, fundamental issues such as inflation, interest rates, public sentiment, market supply and demand, political factors will not affect the market prices.

Prices move in trends Technical analysts believe that prices have to follow a trend, whether upwards, downwards or sideways. The Dow Theory of market price action states that the market cannot be manipulated. Once a pattern is created, there is a high probability of it producing an expected result. There are also recognized patterns that repeat themselves on a consistent basis.

History repeats itself Technical analysts believe that investors collectively repeat the patterns of investors before them. That is to say, human psychology changes little over time. Since patterns have worked well in the past, it is assumed that they will continue to work well into the future. Because investor behavior repeats itself so often, it is possible to chart recognizable market patterns for analysis.

Disadvantages of Technical Analysis

- Critics of technical analysis include many well know fundamental analysts. Warren Buffet once said, "If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians."
- The critics also claim that signals about the changing of a trend appear too late, often after the change had already taken place. Therefore, traders who rely on technical analysis will react too late.
- Technical analysis made in short time intervals may be exposed to noise, and this can result in erroneous reading of market trending.
- The use of most patterns has been widely publicized in the last several years. Many retail traders are quite familiar with these patterns and often act on them like a herd mentality. This creates a self-fulfilling prophecy, as waves of buying or selling are created in response to bullish or bearish patterns.

Advantages of Technical Analysis

- Many traders say that trading in the direction of the trend is the most effective means to be profitable in financial or commodities markets. Many famous traders have each amassed massive fortunes via the use of technical analysis and its concepts. George Lane, a technical analyst, coined one of the most popular phrases on Wall Street, "The trend is your friend!"
- Technical analysis can be used to project movements of any asset (which is priced under demand/supply forces) available for trade in the capital market.
- The technical approach concentrates on prices, which neutralizes external factors. Pure technical analysis is based on objective tools (charts, tables) while disregarding emotions and other factors.
- Signaling indicators can sometimes indicate the imminent end of a trend, before it shows in the actual market. With this, the trader can choose to take profit or cut losses.

วันศุกร์ที่ 31 สิงหาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Forex Trading - Proven Methods For Generating Consistent Profits

by Scott


When I see so many people with powerful dreams and desires for their lives looking to the Forex market I really feel for them. I remember when I first started investigating Forex trading and started to get an understanding of what it can do, I could hardly sleep at night because of all the wheels that kept turning in my mind. I kept asking the people I knew who were already involved in Forex trading, "You mean I can now live anywhere in the world or travel as long as I have a laptop and wireless internet?" Yes! "You mean I can start with a very small amount of money and within a year be making more money than I could have after 5 years of real estate investing? Yes! The more I thought about it the more excited I got.

Once I got started learning to trade, however, I started to see that it just wasn't as easy as what the brokers and training salesmen tried to make it out to be. In fact, after visiting some of the forex forums out there and listening to all the negative discussion I began to wonder if anyone really made money in the trading world. I watched many people join various training programs, get discouraged and eventually give up. Fortunately I knew that success was possible and continued to work on my trading while studying every training program I could find. I started to meet people personally who were credible ordinary people who had gotten through the struggling period and actually multiplied their accounts just like the trading plan formulas show. Rather than put 100% faith in a particular program I gathered information from every source I could. During this time I was priveleged to have a series of breakthroughs and insights some of which most traders never see. While others would follow a particular trading program like a religion then give it up and "convert" to another guru's system, I continued to take the best of all that I found and put it all together in the testing ground of my own experience.

After a couple of years I was still trading and finally started to see the results I was looking for. The potential results in Forex trading are so amazing and exciting that once you experience it there is nothing else that compares. The first thing I did was quit my previous business and move to Santa Fe to enjoy the sunny climate, artistic community, the beautiful Rocky Mountains and surrounding desert. Next year I may move to Aspen or to Fiji or Switzerland. Now I am only doing what is most fulfilling in my life. I can finally live by T Harv Eker's wealth statement, "I work because I choose to, not because I have to." There are many things I love being involved in and I don't do them for money because the money department is taken care of.

When some of my associates started asking me to show them how I trade the thought of being involved in forex trading training kind of defeated my purpose for trading. I really don't want another job and training is a job. Plus, I never really cared much for "public speaking" if you know what I mean. Well, after some coaxing I realized that with today's web conferencing technology I can show people exactly what I am doing while sitting in my adobe courtyard watching another incredible Santa Fe sunset. Or from the alpine European style lodge where I vacation in Aspen. Plus I do enjoy helping others succeed and that fits in well with my chosen mission in life. So, here we go!

วันอังคารที่ 7 สิงหาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Forex scalping basics

by Thomas Lindblom


The forex market is the most liquid of today's exchange, trading in excess of 1.6 trillion dollars daily. This is roughly greater than 5 times the daily trading volume of the U.S. Treasury Bond Market, and 160 times the average daily volume of the U.S. Stock Market. This extreme liquidity gives forex traders an edge in the art of lightning fast execution and the quick trade method referred to as "scalping".

Forex scalping is considered as the art of using high leverage and a large number of short term trades to steadily increase an account. Usually, only 1 to 5 pips are targeted for each trade. This type of trading appeals greatly to day traders and those looking to minimize the risk involved in trading currencies. Next to money management, "risk control" is the single most important trait to a surviving (and thriving) currency trader. The small amount of time that is spent in the market limits much of the risk in exposure in comparison to a longer term system. Also, the freedom involved in a speedy forex scalping system in such a liquid market is a "magnet" that drives many traders from other markets to try their hand in currency. A disciplined and steady scalper could seamlessly double or triple an account, and spend only a fraction of the time in the market as a common day trader.

Effective forex scalping strategies take advantage of extremely slight price fluctuations (sometimes only 1-3 pips) many times in order to steadily build an account. Because of the smaller number of pips gained per trade, larger than normal leverages play a key role in a successful forex scalping strategy. By leveraging much more than a standard day trader in a liquid environment, a very skilled scalp trader is able to make just as much money as the day trader in a shorter period of time. However, this is an obvious double-edged sword. The market can just as easily move against you on a high leverage, which could produce substantial blows to your account.

Also, it is important to take into consideration the physical and mental speed of a trader who will only stay in the market for seconds to minutes. Executing a scalping strategy by hand can be extremely difficult considering the quick amount of time you must be in and out of the market for your strategy to be affective Many successful forex scalping strategies are built to be automated; the rules to the system are coded into a trading platform to automatically perform scalp trades around the clock. Though it is completely possible to trade a forex scalping strategy manually, the majority of today's traders would agree that automating the process based on a set of rules would be the best way to ensure speed and reliability. When choosing a platform to automate your scalp strategy, it is extremely important to stick with those platforms that allow the execution of your system on every tick (such as MetaTrader 4). This ensures that your entrances and exits will be on a per-tick basis, and will give you a much higher probable rate of success than those platforms who will execute your code more periodically.

Though forex scalping may seem like a preverbal "holy grail" at first glance, there are still many unseen hurdles that surround the controversial method of trading. If you do wish to add scalping to your trading toolbox, it is extremely important to pick a broker who can support a scalpers' system. You will quickly find that many brokers do not allow scalp trading, as the method of quickly entering and exiting trades may actually cause the broker to lose money at the dealing desk. Forex scalping also does not give the broker a means to trade against their clients. Out of the hundreds of online forex brokers, only a handful support (and sometimes encourage) scalping.

Forex scalping can be a good method of growing an account quickly, but should not be looked at as the "holy grail" of trading. Most brokers do not support scalping, and a consistently profitable forex scalping strategy can be very difficult to engineer. However, if much time and effort is spent in system optimization and setting up a good relationship with a scalp supporting broker, the benefits could be well worth the time spent.

วันจันทร์ที่ 30 กรกฎาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Become a Professional Forex Trader - Living The Dream In 3 Simple Steps

by Monica Hendrix


Everything about forex trading can be learned yet 95% of traders lose however if you follow the 3 simple tips enclosed you could enter the elite 5% who achieve currency trading success. Let's look at 3 tips for forex trading success.

Forex trading is one of the few areas you can build wealth quickly and the opportunity is open to all - but to make your forex trading successful you need to have the right approach.

1. Adopt The Right Mindset

Forex trading can be learned buy anyone but that doesn't mean making money is easy - it never is.

This doesn't mean you can't do it though you can.

Firstly, when learning forex trading you MUST understand that you cannot rely on anyone else to give you success - it comes from within.

You need to create a system you can have confidence in and follow with discipline.

E-book sellers promising you un told riches on the net wont help you, for the cost of a few hundred dollars - if they were successful at currency trading, they wouldn't tell or need you - they would be to busy making money for themselves.

Once you realize it's up to you - you're ready to move to the next step.

2. Get The Right Forex Education

This means only focusing on the important points and skipping the bulk of forex education that will ensure you lose.

You should base your system on forex technical analysis and use forex charts to spot trading opportunities - that put the odds in your favour.

Don't try predicting or following a scientific system - they don't work.

The best you can do is get the odds in your favour however that doesn't mean you can't make a lot of money - you can.

2. Base Your Forex Trading Strategy On

A looking at support and resistance levels on your forex charts then calculating the odds of them breaking or holding and here is the key:

Don't simply buy into support or resistance like most losing forex traders - get confirmation of changes in price momentum, to confirm your view is correct before trading.

If you simply buy into support you are predicting and hoping and the forex markets will wipe your equity quickly.

Don't rely on hope get some momentum indicators to help you - there covered in more detail in our other articles so look them up.

Above all keep your system simple.

Simple systems work best as they are more robust than complicated forex trading systems that have more elements to break.

3. Be patient and Be Realistic

Only execute trading signals in line with signals from your forex charts and adopt a long term approach.

The big trends in currencies last for months or years and catching them should be the basis of your forex trading strategy not trying to trade the daily noise which will see you wiped out.

You don't get rewarded for effort in forex trading or how often you trade - you get rewarded for being right and that's it.

Have realistic aims Rome wasn't built in a day and a forex trader doesn't become successful over night either - it takes time to get experience, confidence and discipline and spot the big profitable trades.

If you made 100% per annum you would be up there with the best traders in the world - so aim for this level and you could do this trading just 2 or 3 times a year have patience and realism and you will give yourself a great chance of achieving success.

The Dream and The Reality

Is being able to sit at home and make big profits in around an hour a day, with just a computer and some small seed capital.

The dream can become reality, it's not easy but that's totally different from being not possible - it is.

If you have a burning desire to succeed, a willingness to learn and confidence in your own ability, maybe you can become one of the minority who make big consistent profits. The question is:

Are you up for the challenge?

Forex Day Trading - Want to Try It? Then Get Ready To Lose

by Kelly Price


One of the biggest myths in forex is that day traders make money longer term - they don't and if you don't believe me then consider these two facts:

Fact 1 - No Valid Data to Work With

Trillions of dollars are traded daily by millions of different participants and to believe that you can work out where prices may go in a day is laughable.

The data is to short in time span and support and resistance levels are meaningless and cannot be traded.

Volatility is random in short time spans, prices can and do go anywhere and day traders lose over time.

Fact 2 the Evidence

You may not believe the above is true and to be fair, there is a lot of information on the net about how you can scalp profits each day, make a monthly income and predict daily support and resistance with scientific accuracy - but this is just hyped advertising copy and there is nothing to back it up.

Of course, you do get a hypothetical track record (done in hindsight knowing the closing prices) well my 12 year old daughter could make a profit! The problem is you need to trade going forward and you don't have the luxury of knowing the closing prices.

Ask this question of any vendor selling a forex day trading system:

Can I see your track record of real profits over 2 years or more?

See if you get one and let me know if you do - won't hold my breath though.

Fact is the vendors tell a good story and appeal to the greed of buyers and make a guaranteed profit selling them the system and the forex trader who trades it makes a guaranteed loss.

I have been a trader for 25 years and NEVER known a day trader win longer term and am suprised people buy courses and systems without looking for a track record.

Vnedors offer you in many instances your money back if the course doesnt work for you but that's not much consolation when your trading capital gets wiped out!

Avoid day trading and look at longer time spans - forex trading is an odds game and to trade the odds you must have data that can put the odds in your favor and forex day trading wont do that - period.

วันพุธที่ 25 กรกฎาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Treat Trading Less Like a Hobby and More Like a Business

by Paul Cook


At Emerald Passport they have a video that educates you regarding the pitfalls of FOREX trading. I suggest you go to Emerald Passport and watch the video before proceeding with this article.

When Emerald Passport-educated traders, or any day traders, consider securing a new trading system for stock market trading, they stereotypically do not mull over the expenditure of ownership. But, there are numerous considerations that new Emerald Passport traders should consider when purchasing a modern piece of software, like the price tag of keeping up the software and the expense of the facts and figures the program will need to function.

The outlay for owning a trading system or charting bundle for trading the stock market can be very prohibitive. Several factors come into play when looking at the overall cost, like the type of market you trade and whether or not you plan to use end-of-day or real-time statistics. The format of the information can make a difference too. A package that requires a detailed data structure can be more costly to own. Two common formats of facts and figures for trading software are Metastock and ASCII.

There are pros and cons of using both. But since these are among the industry standards for statistics organization, and make data sellers more abundant, there is more rivalry. Evidently, it is this competition that keys the amount down. When the Emerald Passport trader mulls over a real-time service, they can end up paying much more. However, the cost may be right depending on how regularly the trader trades and the type of market he or she trades.

A trader who trades in markets such as futures, can incur a good deal of volatility and, therefore, they may want to have a real-time package where they can see the instability of instability that occur during the day in the plans of their trading. An alternate to real-time is a delayed service. A provision that delivers delayed quotes can cut the cost of the facts and figures by as much as 80% from the real-time counterpart. This can make a vast difference for traders who are just starting out and may want to use the money to trade rather than pay for real-time data.

The expense of buying a trading system can be pretty frightening for beginners and professionals alike, regardless of whether or not you are interested in stock market trading or some other market. When considering purchasing a firsthand system, should take the cost of their statistics feed into account. This sets their foot firmly on the path of treating FOREX trading less like a hobby and more like a business.

วันอังคารที่ 17 กรกฎาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Honey, We're Making 20% to 40% Monthly On This!

by Brian Sater


A funny thing happened while I was researching my bank's own statement. It stated that it was making 40% per month in something called foreign currency exchange. Hmm. They were only paying me 3% on my account.

The foreign currency exchange market,or forex, for short, is the world's largest financial market. We all know the stock market is huge, but just think of all of the currencies in the entire world being traded on a daily basis. The average daily forex trading volume currently exceeds $1.9 trillion.

Foreign currency exchange is the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another. The world's currencies are on a floating exchange rate and are always traded in pairs.

For example, British Pound/US Dollar or British Pound/Japanese Yen. There is no central location like the New York Stock Exchange since it is a floating exchange rate and so it is referred to as an interbank market.

After doing research on this, called the forex, I found out there is also a huge industry making money off people teaching them to trade the forex. This industry charges thousands of dollars for seminars, charts, signals, trading systems, monthly newsletters and so on. This used to be the playground of only the very rich. In the past few years, the average person has been allowed in.

The forex market is open from Sunday afternoon to Friday afternoon, 24/7. Which is very cool.

People spend thousands of dollars on courses, mentors, charts, signals, and so on. They spend hours trying to learn this stuff and getting up at odd hours to trade at the "best times."

A process has started of bringing this to the "little guy" and show why you don't have to spend all of this money. You can start a forex account with as little as $1,000 (and why you should start with at least this amount), it is extremely liquid, and you can see how to get started and receive FREE signals each month, free charts, and spend only a couple of minutes a day checking out your account.

No systems to learn, no monthly fees, you just plug in the numbers. You won't have to get up at odd hours either.

You may be saying to yourself, 20% to 40% on my money every month is pretty awesome. What is better than that, is that your money will grow exponentially!

When your $1,000 grows to $2,000, you can increase what you risk by adding what they call a lot. So instead of making $200 on your monthly trade, you are now making $400 at 2 lots. That is the greatest part of trading the forex, the exponential potential.

One of the most beneficial things you can do before you invest your money, is you can receive a free practice account from your broker with some play money before you put your cold hard cash in. Try it for a month or two, see your results, then you can feel confident that you can put real money in an account.

If you have enough money to start with a $10,000 account, you would make $2,000 on your 20%. Learn to trade the forex the easy way with minimal effort.