วันศุกร์ที่ 27 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2550

How To Choose a Forex Trading System That Works




There are so many different trading systems you could use to trade the forex market, some better suited to certain people than others. For example some people may find it easier to comprehend and take into account fundamental factors as opposed to looking at a screen covered in technical indicators, and vice-versa. The first logical step in determining what type of trading system would best suit you is actually being aware and understand the widely known methods of analysis used in trading the currency market. Once you are aware of the tools that are available, you can generally tell what type of analysis suits you.

You may now actually be able to develop your own system by combining certain methods of analysis together, giving you a method which you are comfortable with. On the other hand you may decide that you would like to trade someone else's system, either way, that brings us to the next step which is determining the profitability of a trading system.

Determining Profitability: Most people would think that back testing is the best way to determine a systems profitability. However back testing doesn't always give you a true idea of how profitable a system is. The reason for this is because when you're back testing your system on historical charts, you are only seeing the obvious setups which have occurred, and not always seeing the ones that are less obvious. These less obvious ones sometimes can produce losses, which is why back testing isn't always the best method to implement. A better method of determining profitability is by trading your system in real-time with a demo account. This would give you a true understanding of what your system is capable of. This would also allow you to familiarize yourself with your trading platform at the same time. When determining profitability you must look at it in terms of expectancy and opportunity.

Expectancy & Opportunity: These two factors together will be able to tell you what you could expect to make over a period of time. Expectancy is calculated with the following formula:

(Probability of winning × average win) - (Probability of losing × average loss) This will give you a figure which is the average amount you can expect to make per trade. This shouldn't be a negative amount, if it is you should look at some other method of trading since you cannot make money on a system that produces a negative expectancy. Obviously the higher this figure is the better. Now to the opportunity factor. The opportunity factor is how often you are able to trade using your system. By multiplying your expectancy figure with your opportunity factor it will tell you how much you could expect to make over a period of time. The more opportunity you have to trade, the more money you should expect to make.

Conclusion: By taking into consideration the above factors you will be able to determine if a trading system best suits you, and with some simple mathematical calculations you will be able to determine its profitability.

How To Choose A Good Forex Broker





To become successful in forex trading, you will need a good forex broker. Your forex broker is one who will execute all your trades according to your wishes while earning a commission for each trade. There many forex brokers out there competing for your business and it can be quite hard to determine which one is best for you. Here are some key points to look for when choosing a good forex broker.

1. Available Currency Pairs

Every forex broker will at least have the seven major currencies (USD, CAD, AUD, EUR, CHF, JPY and GBP). However, if you plan on trading Danish krones or New Zealand dollars, you should make sure that your forex broker is able to do so.

2. Transaction Costs

Forex brokers are paid based on the bid ask spread, there should not be any hidden fees or charges to trade. However, additional charges may be required to access certain reports and optional services. Of course, the smaller the spread the better it is for you. Pip spreads vary by broker (and also by currency pairs), so shop around for competitive rates.

3. Free Analysis Tools

To facilitate your analysis of spot trends, currency prices and plan entry and exit points, you will require charting and technical analysis tools. Most forex brokers offer basic services free of charge with an expanded arsenal of tools for an added charge.

4. Immediate Execution of Orders

Currency prices are constantly fluctuating and any delay in the execution of your orders can lower your profits or increase your losses. Look for a forex broker that can consistently execute your trade at the price you see on your screen. An occasional delay may be understandable, but if it happens frequently find yourself a new forex broker.

5. Superior Customer Service

This is something forex traders often overlook when choosing a forex broker and later regret when they require assistance. Any quality forex broker should be able to respond quickly to any question you have. Knowledgeable representatives should be available 24 hours a day by phone and email.

6. Margin Requirement

The lower the margin requirement, the more leverage you will have. If a forex broker allows you to use 100:1 leverage, which means you can use $1,000 to trade $100,000 in currency; you can use margin to produce huge profits. However, do not margin yourself too much or you will find yourself cleaned out fast.

7. Minimum Account Balance

As a small individual investor you will need a forex broker that does not require a large balance to open a forex trading account. Most forex brokers today will allow you to open a mini account with as little as $300.

8. User-friendly Trading Platform

Some forex brokers may require you to download a trading program to your computer in order to make trades. Others may let you make trades directly over the internet. Choose a few forex brokers and sign up for a free demo account. It is highly advisable to trade with play money while you test out their program and decide which one works best for you.

The above key points provide a general guideline to choosing a good forex broker and is an important step towards successful forex trading.

Global Forex Trading - Lesser Known Facts That Can Lead To Your Personal Wealth




Global forex trading is a lesser known facet of money making or wealth creation among the general population. You will no doubt hear about stock markets and share prices daily and also about oil prices and other commodities, but when it comes to forex trading, there is much less publicity on this compared to stock market trading and futures. However, it is a fact that the global forex trading market actually dwarfs the stock markets and even the commodities market.

At any one time, more than $2 trillion of currencies are transacted every day on the global forex market.

What is helping forex market to reach that distinction of being the largest tradeable market is that forex is tradeable at any time of the day for every day- 24/7 ! Compared to stocks and shares or commodity markets that have specific opening and ending trading times. By necessity, forex markets are available for trading anytime since price of currencies changes and fluctuates everytime. This makes it possible for the trader who has the acumen to profit from these price fluctuations.

Another characteristic of forex trading that can catapult you into wealth is the application of the system of leverage. In wealth creation, leverage accelerates your ability to create wealth from a small amount. Many people are attracted to trading stocks and shares on margin because they can get leverage on a margin account. For example, by margining your stocks and shares, you can get a leverage of 50% to 75% of your stocks so that if you have $100,000 worth of stocks and shares, you may be able to get additional margin to trade worth $50,000 to $75,000. But compared to forex margin accounts where you can get leverage of 20 times to 50 times, which is common and even up to 100% margin in some special cases.

Leverage is a main key to forex trading wealth, and is a powerful tool that can cuts both ways. You will need a good education in forex trading to gain the edge and be profitable consistently. Otherwise this immense leverage can work against you and gets you wiped off and even move into bankruptcy even faster than it can help you become a millionaire.

It is this leverage that draws people to forex trading, giving it a tint of speculative activity. While one cannot deny that there are many speculators in the forex market, there are many traders who are able to extract continuous and consistent profits trading the forex market for a living. This group of people constitute 10% of the forex traders, and the key element with them is their ability to take advantage of the price movements either as day traders, swing traders or position traders.